An Empirical Investigation of the Determinants of Service Sector Growth in Nigeria (1981-2019)
Augustina Ogadinma Igboanusi, Dr. Silas Birat Garba and Dr. Tafida Abdullahi
Abstract
Service sector is taking the center stage in global economies despite the misconception of services as
being non-tradable, unproductive and unable to drive growth in the past. The study seeks to assess the
empirical investigation of the determinants of service sector growth in Nigeria from 1981 to 2019
using Autoregressive Distributive Lag model (ARDL). Unit root test was conducted to ascertain that
none of the variables are integrated of order two while ARDL bounds test to cointegration was conducted
and the result showed that there exists a long-run relationship among the variables employed in the
model. The ARDL estimation result revealed that, gross domestic product per capita, human capital,
government national expenditure and domestic credit to private sector are determinants of service
sector growth in Nigeria while foreign direct investment and trade openness tends to impact service
sector growth negatively both in the long-run and short-run. The study recommends that policy
makers should optimize policies on services especially on human capital knowledeg-intensive project
and programmes that will drive innovation(technology) such that will usher drastic change in not
just services but will positively improve other sectors of the economy, attract foreign investors and
establish a new path for trade (knowledge export).
Key words:
Service sector, Human capital, Autoregressive Distributive Lag model, Government National Expenditure, Domestic Credit to Private Sector, Foreign Direct Investment and Trade Openness
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