The analysis is framed within a tripartite theoretical framework, integrating Merton's Anomie theory, Social Disorganization theory, and Cohen and Felson's Routine Activity Theory to provide a multi-layered explanation. The findings reveal that KFR along the expressway is driven by a confluence of factors: profound socio-economic pressures such as youth unemployment and poverty (Anomie); the erosion of state authority, institutional decay, and lack of collective efficacy in adjoining communities (Social Disorganization); and the convergence of motivated offenders, suitable targets (vulnerable commuters), and the absence of capable guardians in a geographically favourable environment (Routine Activity). The study dissects the kidnappers' modus operandi, highlighting their strategic use of terrain, military-style tactics, and sophisticated intelligence gathering. The March 2022 attack on the Abuja-Kaduna train serves as a pivotal case study, illustrating the escalating audacity and operational capacity of these criminal groups.
The paper concludes that KFR on this route is not merely banditry but a complex security challenge symptomatic of state fragility. It recommends a paradigm shift from a purely kinetic security response to an integrated strategy that addresses the root socio-economic drivers, rebuilds state legitimacy through good governance, and fosters community-led security initiatives.
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